So I'm interested in what you guys think about who will win. I suspect, but by no means predict, a Trump win; Clinton has got the edge by any conventional measure, but it's a pretty weak one, and would almost definitely collapse like a house of cards if she looses either Pennsylvania or Michigan. New Hampshire is a toss-up as well, and if Trump grabs that and can pick-off either Nevada, Colorado, or New Mexico, he's got a strong chance of winning.
I also suspect that the silent Trump supporter is a real phenomenon with a non-nominal strength, which, if my suspicion turns out to be vindicated, will almost certainly give Trump the election. Again, this is not really a prediction, just my suspicion, so I could quite easily wrong here.
The momentum going into the election seemed to me to be clearly on Trump's side until last night, when Comey closed, yet again, the FBI case that he re-opened a little over a week before. That seems like it could very well save Clinton from loosing her edge, and might even give her the momentum in the final hours of voting. I'm not entirely sure however, since I'm not so sure people trust the FBI Director at this point, and I don't know if people are going to actually hear the news that the investigation of Clinton's e-mails is over in time for it to affect their choice.
What do you guys think about all of this?
Finally, as a for the record sort of point, on the off-chance that the election goes to the almost assuredly Republican House, Trump will probably win (although McMullian might be able to stage a coup there if he is able to snatch Utah); Clinton basically has no chance if it gets to that point.